Why Military Coercion Will Not Fix Iran’s Crisis
As Iran’s deadly anti-government protests persist, the threat of U.S. military intervention continues to loom. Yet external force is more likely to entrench authoritarian control through securitization or to produce regime collapse without institutional replacement. In addition, Iran’s asymmetric deterrence strategy and extensive proxy network make escalation difficult to contain, raising the risk of regional spillover. In this view, intervention would militarize Iran’s domestic legitimacy crisis and export instability across the Middle East without resolving the underlying political breakdown.
