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Resurgent Separatism in Alberta Conservatism: A Threat to The Future of the UCP?

Since the beginning of Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s term, conversations about Alberta’s role in confederation have come to the forefront of the political discussion. These conversations have been fueled by separatist activists but also by the provincial government itself, which has recently started championing unpopular sovereigntist policy. It is worth asking why the United Conservative Party is so adamant about increased Alberta sovereignty and how it might affect their base of support into the future.

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Pierre Poilievre’s Leadership Review

In late January 2026, Pierre Poilievre will face a leadership review. The political test is set to take place in Alberta, where Poilievre’s brand of conservatism is most popular. This locale may strategically favor Mr. Poilievre, as it will stimulate turnout for his core base. Concurrently, certain Conservatives have been publicly critical of his leadership, but since they are mostly based in other parts of the country, convincing them to partake in the leadership vote may prove challenging. However, critics may be favored by the voting system. Thus, although the strategic location of the convention and the lack of a clear successor may advantage Pierre Poilievre, growing discontent may muddy the waters.

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